USDCAD Correlation with Crude Oil Analysis
Understand the strong inverse relationship between crude oil prices and USDCAD. This Excel analysis file demonstrates the -0.82 correlation coefficient, helping you make informed medium to long-term trading decisions.

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How USDCAD Correlation with Crude Oil Works
Oil is a major Canadian export. When oil prices rise, Canada's economy strengthens and CAD appreciates against USD, causing USDCAD to fall. This creates a consistent inverse correlation useful for position trading.
Usage Tips
- Correlation coefficient of -0.82 indicates strong inverse relationship
- Best for medium to long-term trades (6-12 months)
- If you expect oil to rise, consider shorting USDCAD
- If you expect oil to fall (oversupply), consider longing USDCAD
- Not recommended for short-term scalping
Key Features
Regression Analysis
Statistical analysis showing -0.82 correlation coefficient
Historical Data
Weekly data from 1998 onward for backtesting
Excel Format
Easy to analyze and extend with your own data
Position Trading
Perfect for swing and position traders
Download USDCAD Correlation with Crude Oil
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How to Install (4 Steps)
Download the File
Click the download button to get the Excel file
Open in Excel
Open the .xlsx file in Microsoft Excel or Google Sheets
Review the Analysis
Study the regression analysis and correlation data
Apply to Trading
Use the correlation insights for your USDCAD positions
Screenshots

Strong inverse correlation between USDCAD and oil prices
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Regression analysis showing -0.82 correlation coefficient
Click to enlarge
Frequently Asked Questions
Why does oil affect USDCAD?
Canada is a major oil exporter. Higher oil prices boost Canada's economy and strengthen CAD. Additionally, oil is priced in USD - a weaker dollar increases oil prices while strengthening CAD.
What timeframe should I trade this correlation?
The correlation works best for medium to long-term trading (6-12 months). Short-term fluctuations may not follow the correlation due to other market factors.
Is this an MT4 indicator?
No, this is an Excel analysis file for research and decision-making. It helps inform your USDCAD trading decisions based on oil price outlook.
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